@trappleton you can model this pretty accurately with stats, even with incomplete data/ a somewhat small sample size. 4 confirmed cases means they detected it in 4 people directly (no indication of prevalence as they don’t report testing size or its too small to make an estimate). 4 estimated in the entire city is a different thing, which would be based on sampling X # of people and maybe finding it once and then estimating, or extrapolating from data in similarly dense cities.
@trappleton this is how scientists can often say “there are an expected X number of undiagnosed cases in whatever city”
@data *that* sounds like the actual, useful metric that should be publicized, right?! I haven't seen that at all
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